Commit graph

250 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
alex
4ce7a1e0a7 board: lane PL decomposes /Sim/players - 53 of 54 unmodelled not mismodelled; T31 self-check corrected 2026-09-08 16:40:00 -04:00
alex
a545f33cc7 board: lab expanded to five Windows guests via ZFS clones - the single-VM constraint was shaping the work 2026-09-08 16:37:08 -04:00
alex
91a04377d4 lane PL: decompose the /Sim/players residual by mechanism; the bankruptcy protection factor is a float32
findings/subsystems/players-residual.md is the deliverable: every one of the 54
leaves on the reference pair and the 24 on pair 2 attributed to a named
mechanism, with the rung split. 53 of 54 are pass-through -- the block is
unmodelled, not mismodelled, and only player 32's Sav is a number we compute and
get wrong.

Three corrections to the record:
- T31's self-check compared its post-turn result against the pre-turn stored
  value, so its 6-of-8 covered only the players whose limit never moves.
- the AI difficulty column IS recoverable from the save, by recomputing BnkEl
  under both columns against the value the save carries; 1 AI + 1 non-AI on all
  eleven corpus saves.
- BANKRUPTCY_PROTECTION_LIMIT_FACTOR is read fmul dword ptr, so it is a float32
  in the image; the decimal disagrees at every max income divisible by ten and
  the corpus' seven records land where the two agree (rule 23). formula-gaps Q1
  addendum + ghidra/addresses.d/lane-pl.json (3 data entries, fragment validated
  to a scratch path, no duplicate names).

verify/results/standalone/{status.json,report.txt} refreshed from a build of main
aabd8a3: the committed copy was stale at 131/55, the real number is 128/54.

T34 RecordObservedDesigns is now readable off the corpus and is NOT an intel
pass: a design's creator registers the design in its own odes, its weapons in
owep, and re-stamps otnL on its techs in otch -- odes on build, otch on creation.
Both are hypotheses until a save exists where a player observes someone else's
design.

Status stays open and is flagged as NOT identifiable: eighteen fields of the
player record split the roster the same way and only two saves carry a non-zero
value. The probe is an entry hook on W2's writer.
2026-09-08 16:36:45 -04:00
alex
ed73b9fe7a board: lane AI4 - ModCount decomposed with zero residual, all EIPs named; reference-game corrections 2026-09-08 16:31:02 -04:00
alex
ae47971316 AI4: what an AI turn emits, and what each command costs in ModCount
Joins the emission side (lanes AI1-AI3) to the counting side (A2, W2). Three
results.

The cost of applying a command is a property of its list, and the boundary is
sharp: lists 1-16 each advance ModCount once per element, lists 17-27 never do.
Four of the six prologue gates bump, one is free, and the sixth has no applier
anywhere in the application path -- its cost is unknown, not zero. The batch
applies the twenty-seven lists in a fixed order that is neither list nor offset
order, with the six gates split across three separate per-player loops at three
different points, and four of the sixteen bumps inlined into the batch rather
than living in a handler, which is why a call-graph sweep under-counts them.

Lane W2's four unnamed handler EIPs are named, and so are its two inlined ones,
and the ten measured command bumps then decompose with zero residual. Four of the
ten are the research-rate gate, one per submitted block, and one of those four is
the human's. Two are list 14, on a turn that moved exactly one fleet -- which
confirms lane AI2's P1 (an AI fleet order deposits two fleet-task elements where
the interface deposits one) from the counter side, at no VM cost.

The reference game is not what the record says. ref-turn2.sav IS turn2-state.sav;
there are THREE AI players, not one, and the two dormant ones do run -- all three
set a research rate and picked a research target on turn 1; and the four
monster-faction players submit no command block at all, which is the first direct
evidence that they have no client rather than an empty task list.

Prediction committed for turn1-state: the same 12, out of a different set of
commands -- 4 rate gates, 3 research targets, and three orders from the one AI
with an empire, which are predicted to be a new design, a build order and a
system-rates command, with NO fleet order on turn 1. The trap multiset it
predicts contains two EIPs W2 has never seen and omits three it did, so it is
cheap to falsify: one save swap on W2's unchanged watchpoint module.

Also: phase 2 of the AI's turn is Hiver-only (a fifth cross-check on the species
reading, and the reason one prologue gate has never been observed set), phases
29-33 are dead because the submit latches the client before it builds the send
buffer, and cl_SetResearchTarget is AI-only surface with exactly one caller.

14 addresses in ghidra/addresses.d/lane-ai4.json; validated to a scratch path,
1,138 -> 1,152, no duplicate names.
2026-09-08 16:27:58 -04:00
alex
c0c685d07f board: lane G3 growth is clamp-decided not capacity-gated; a live-verified module was wrong on widened float literals 2026-09-08 15:57:33 -04:00
alex
63347c7c17 rule 23: a live-verified module can still be wrong - thin coverage is how; float literals are widened floats 2026-09-08 15:57:09 -04:00
alex
d4f9404960 lane G3: civilian growth read and measured; out[6] is not a repair number
findings/subsystems/population-growth.md -- ServerSystem::GrowCivilianPops
0x00754220 read byte for byte, its whole chain, and Ship::RepairCost
0x00815180.

The headline is a correction to the brief's premise. The pass is NOT gated
on imperial carrying capacity. The whole system's civilian delta is clamped
to 20,000,000 -- POPTYPE[1]+0x08, an int64 literal in the executable -- and
on both reference pairs that clamp decides the value: the uncapped delta is
7.5x it and the capacity headroom 25x it. The imperial capacity is pinned
at exactly Size x 1e8 from the corpus alone, by two independent behaviours
of one colony across three turns, with no data files.

Two boundary corrections, both of the rule-17 shape. GrowCivilianPops is a
loop over group types whose back edge lies outside every decompiler `if`,
so it reads as straight-line code if you stop at the first `ret`; its real
end is 0x00754b59. MaxPopGeneric ends at 0x0074a6cd, so the 0x0074a6d0 that
lanes N and E1 both cite for the capacity-surplus pair is a different
function.

A table correction with teeth: InitPopTypeTable never writes the group
ceiling at +0x28/+0x2c. The CRT static initialiser at 0x009abe20 does, to
INT64_MAX, and nothing else touches it -- so the clamp that reads it is
always a no-op. A reader who opens only the obvious initialiser sees zero
there and would cap every carrying capacity in the game at nothing.
Lane N's whole table is otherwise reproduced independently from the
six-register fxch rotation.

output-turn-path.md: out[6] is NOT the ship-repair demand. 0x007460b0 sums
0x0081f8c0, which gates on the design's carried-population bit and computes
GroupIncome over the ship's own Population -- so it is the income of
population carried in slaver and colony hulls, a slot the engine already
had under a name nobody had connected to it. Corrected in place, with
lane-c3.json's three unread stubs superseded by lane-g3.json's read entries.

Ship::RepairCost is unexercised on the corpus and that is a measurement,
not an absence (rule 20): the independent colony keeps a ten-ship fleet in
orbit over Koa'Vo on both reference pairs and its Sav closes exactly with
the demand taken as zero, which it could not do if any hull had a cost.

Engine side: sots-engine wip/growth ed6602e -- reference pair 78 -> 81
closed, 0 regressed; pair 2 36 -> 39 closed, 0 regressed.
2026-09-08 15:53:08 -04:00
alex
3e5117bc05 board: VM140 holder = lane W3 2026-09-08 15:49:45 -04:00
alex
c810c552e5 standalone report from merged main: default 209 -> 131 closed 78; note the with-inputs 127 distinction 2026-09-08 15:49:04 -04:00
alex
1b5553b0aa board: lane EV event posting; two events.md corrections; the withheld-roster control measurement 2026-09-08 15:46:01 -04:00
alex
c224ff2214 lane EV: what a turn actually posts, and two corrections to events.md
Measured over all eleven saves with state_checksum, not derived:

  * the reference pair posts TWO events (turn1->turn2) and THREE (turn2->turn3),
    and only two players in the whole corpus ever hold an event -- the human and
    the one AI empire that owns colonies. The dormant shadow empires pick research
    targets every turn and still post nothing.
  * order within a player is readable off the ids: the build pass posts before the
    research pass. Ids are per player, so no cross-player order is observable.
  * the event type is the EvImg string and it is composed at run time --
    EVENT_ENEMY_INCOMING_Human carries a species suffix, so the type space is not
    an enumeration.

Two corrections in place (rule 11):

  * the turn PostEvent is handed is the FRAME, not ModCount. turn2-state.sav has
    Frame 2 and ModCount 12, and every event it carries is in bucket EvTurn=2. It
    is the post-increment turn: a turn run from a save at turn N posts into N+1.
  * the EVENT_NO_RESEARCH gate: 0x00584e50 is TechTree::CollectResearchedTechs,
    not a ListAvailableTechs, and the middle test is "nothing was researched on
    this turn or later" -- not "no affordable tech". zuul-turn23 exercises it: the
    human posts RESEARCH_COMPLETE on turn 22 with no no-research event that turn,
    then NO_RESEARCH again on turn 23.

ghidra/addresses.d/lane-ev.json records the gate at 0x0089162a with the argument
order re-read from the instruction stream. Validated with tools/gen_addresses.py to
a scratch path (1121 entries, no duplicate); the shared header is NOT regenerated.

tools/standalone_report.py gains --engine-arg (repeatable), so a lane can feed the
standalone the operator inputs a save does not carry -- the data root, the AI
roster, which blocked phases may commit -- instead of hard-coding them. Every run
records what it was given, in the report header and in status.json.
2026-09-08 15:40:07 -04:00
alex
c997c6ebce board: lane W2 - multiplayer verified end to end, ModCount confirmed, rcex closed, Player.Status writer found 2026-09-08 15:34:45 -04:00
alex
2b7758123f rules 21-22: lanes never touch the shared worktree; union-resolve is not concatenation. VM released 2026-09-08 15:34:12 -04:00
alex
e9dec36d77 findings: lane AI3 -- the AI stepping order is save player order, and pass 0 writes nothing
Closes five of lane AI2's open items and corrects two published claims.

The stepping order: StrategyServer::ResumePlaying 0x007ddc90 walks the player
array in INDEX ORDER and raises SEResumePlaying at each live player; the app
callback StrategyApp::OnClientEvent 0x00838e10 delivers it inline for humans
and appends it, deduplicated, to the pending queue for AI players. So the AI
players are stepped in save player order, each at most once -- computable from
a save with no live measurement. AI2's search missed it because 0x00b29f98 is
not a pointer to the StrategyApp, it IS the StrategyApp: the enqueue writes the
absolute member address 0x00b29fb4 and never materialises the object base. The
enqueue also has zero direct callers and no vtable slot -- its address is stored
into StrategyServer+0x170 by CreateGame. Lane B6's third blind spot, twice over.

The two passes: `pass` is a tier index, not a plan/act switch. 0x006abb2a picks
between two per-candidate quota fields -- tier 0 takes +0x10, tier 1 takes +0x14
-- and the hub loops `for (i = 0; i <= pass; ++i)`. Every order-emitting exit is
gated pass == 1 (0x006bbd50, 0x006c16c0, 0x006cea50), so pass 0 claims each
task's minimum force in priority order and WRITES NOTHING. That halves the
ModCount arithmetic.

Corrections:
- AI2 §4.2: the nine "no order method" tasks are not planners. All nine emit
  orders at depth 4-9; the depth-4 cut hid it. AITColonize reaches list 7 and
  AITBuildPoliceShips reaches list 3, which is what their names promise.
- AI2 §3: the two priority overrides' flag polarity is inverted. The tunable
  applies when bit 0 of +0x4 is SET, and "committed" is not a supported name.
- AI2 §10.6: the .data invade tunables have no loader. 650 and 750, image
  constants, exactly one reader each and no writer anywhere.

Also: slot 12 named (a preemption permission, 0x006a8d20), slot 13's consumer
found (0x00696620, a range budget -- and the Zuul are exempt, a FOURTH
independent cross-check on AI2's species reading), slot 11's dispatch located.
ServerPlayer+0xf9/+0xfa -- the two bytes that decide whether a player is
AI-controlled -- sit in a hole in the serialised layout and are NOT in the save;
their writer is unfound and is the biggest remaining hole.

Static only; nothing here has run under an instrument. 160 indirect call sites
inside the AI closure are unresolved, so reachability is still a lower bound.
Four predictions with falsifiers in §7.

ghidra/addresses.d/lane-ai3.json: 15 entries, 1,105 -> 1,120, no duplicates,
validated to a scratch path.
2026-09-08 15:29:53 -04:00
alex
b77a6116e2 lane W2: VM housekeeping notes for the multiplayer recipe (SOTSUI2 left registered, SOTSB staged not registered, -ExecutionPolicy Bypass gotcha) 2026-09-08 15:26:42 -04:00
alex
cb1ea723e1 lane W2: the three queue items not reached, with the reason and the cheapest next step for each
TShn: the brief's address was wrong -- player+0x274 is observed_techs; the TShn map is
ServerSystem+0x274. The real obstacle is that a std::map's nodes are heap-allocated, so there is
no fixed leaf to arm; arm the map header to trap the insertion instead.

rcex: closed from the corpus, no VM time needed (see rcex-explained.md).

Trade/spy workload: not attempted, and lane H's reasons still hold. What is new is that the
watchpoint module is the instrument for confirming the workload BEFORE spending a turn on it --
both containers are one add from the arming point, and for the spy vector the trapped return
addresses would name the UI nobody has found.
2026-09-08 15:25:53 -04:00
alex
92ad44efb0 lane W2: multiplayer Tier 0 played end to end with no server; ModCount/Frame/Status watchpoints; rcex explained
Multiplayer: two clients on one guest, joined by typed IP and by LAN browse, launched a
2-player game and played two turns in lockstep. 44,319 packets captured outside the guest,
ZERO to any GameSpy port. Availability check fails open exactly as lane G2 read it; Join
Manually is enabled with every gamespy.com name dead, falsifying G2's own caveat (a). The
shipped MOTD is fetched live from kerberos-productions.com and tells players to host in LAN
mode -- the developer's own statement of the same finding.

Watchpoints: a new shim module arms DR0-DR3 from StrategyServer::ApplyAllTurnCommands.
ModCount takes exactly 12 writes per End Turn (lane A2's prediction, confirmed twice, both
predicted addresses exact); Frame takes exactly one, from BeginProcessTurn+0x2a, settling the
ModCount-vs-Frame naming in A2's favour. The Player.Status writer between tail phase 31 and
the autosave EXISTS and is StrategyNetworkClient::OnMessage+0xa15 -- correcting lane T2.
Rule 19 control: the armed run reproduced the determinism oracle byte for byte.

rcex: closed from the corpus alone. It is sixteen 4-bit per-player counters; nibble p is set
to 1 on the turn the system enters player p's AFlags and ticked to 0 the next turn. 7/7
across two different games.
2026-09-08 15:23:52 -04:00
alex
3fe74bc6a5 standalone report from merged main: 209 -> 131 leaves, closed 78 regressed 0 2026-09-08 15:10:17 -04:00
alex
449daeb621 roadmap: item 6 premise refuted - no writer exists, it needs a predicate not a watchpoint 2026-09-08 15:07:02 -04:00
alex
7574623f73 board: lane T2 treaty stamps close 26; roadmap item 6 refuted - no writer exists; tail ranked and unactionable 2026-09-08 15:06:46 -04:00
alex
4c21bbe19e lane T2: re-measure H02 on main 2fd0852 (C3 + B6 merged) -- same +26 / +14 / +12x3, 0 regressed, so the phase is orthogonal to both 2026-09-08 15:04:36 -04:00
alex
f259655026 dashboard refresh 2026-09-08 15:03:10 -04:00
alex
a4cc50043d board: lane B6 - no build orders exist at load, so shpt[0] is Rung B; build queue read; stack-built fptr tables are a third blind spot 2026-09-08 14:58:45 -04:00
lane-b6
5cc66f6fff findings: ship construction -- the build queue read byte for byte, and the missing destroyer is the AI's
BuildQueue::ProcessTurn 0x00890d50 disassembled to the next function start (Ghidra says 1230
bytes; the body is 1264 and its end lands inside the epilogue -- rule 17 again). Corrects the
recorded prototype: the first stack argument is the StrategyServer S frame, not the system, so
the build-completed event goes on the sim and the hull's turn stamp is Frame.

THE HEADLINE IS A CORRECTION. Lane E2's open census leaf (shpt[0], one destroyer short on both
reference pairs) cannot be closed by S11's build-queue sub-pass: measured over the corpus, both
reference saves carry three empty BQ frames, every hbq false, and the one TurnCommands_v5 block
empty. The order is created inside the turn by the AI -- PvSav shows 11,900 leaving the treasury
before spine phase 0. The blocker moves to game/ai.

Also: the per-class built counter has EXACTLY ONE writer in the image (image-wide byte scan);
ShipRecords sized by enumeration; the ship/fleet birth chain end to end, correcting lane B5 --
FtFlg 0x400 is set by EVERY fleet born through the create path, not by retreat; one home fleet
per system cached at ServerSystem+0x238; and a third indirection class vtable_map.py cannot see
(the ship-borne wrapper is dispatched from a stack-built pointer table).

21 addresses in ghidra/addresses.d/lane-b6.json, validated to a scratch path against the merged
set (1,077 entries, no duplicate names); two entries dropped as duplicates of lane B5's and
recorded as agreements instead.
2026-09-08 14:54:03 -04:00
alex
90c665a3be lane T2: record the rule-17 hit -- the caller's real body runs 0x48 bytes past Ghidra's reported end, and a clipped sweep would have found no caller at all 2026-09-08 14:53:40 -04:00
alex
214e00186d roadmap: item 1 done (E1+C3); new item 1b S11 civilian growth, 1c ship repair cost 2026-09-08 14:53:33 -04:00
alex
247285ac28 board: lane C3 output turn path; unspent construction cascades to money; S11 civilian growth is next 2026-09-08 14:53:17 -04:00
alex
49fa5501ba lane T2: the treaty-turn stamp, and Player.Status's real writer
findings/subsystems/treaty-turn-stamp.md. Briefed on the post-combat tail, ranked its
phases by leaves-closed-per-effort against the standalone's 158-leaf residual, and found
that every tail phase which moves a leaf in this corpus is blocked on another lane
(ship construction, the budget) or on the tail's vtable blind spot. Section 5 lists that
ranking with the numbers. The two items below are what a lane holding no VM could close.

1. StrategyServer_StampTreatyTurns 0x007898c0, read as instructions. The diplomacy
   ledger's per-turn stamp over every ordered pair of players holding a treaty, creating
   the entry on demand. Sole caller is ApplyTurnCommands, so it is a HOST step and not a
   tail phase. Three corrections to strategic-turn-internals.md 5.2, which is flagged in
   place: the relation codes are 3=ally / 2=NAP / 1=cease-fire and not the reverse (which
   combat-done-tail.md 2A already implied independently); the stamped value is Frame, not
   ModCount; and the bit is the PlyrIdx field, not the player's vector position -- the
   opposite convention from the shared-vision mask.

   Modelled in sots-engine as host phase H02. Predicted 26 leaves on the reference pair
   and 14 on pair 2 before building; measured exactly 26 and 14, 0 regressed, and +12 on
   each of three further pairs from a different game at turns 2, 15 and 16 that the model
   was never fitted to. 76 closed / 0 regressed over five pairs, 0 RNG words. The rule
   also reproduces the ledger of ten of the eleven corpus saves entry for entry.

2. Player.Status. backlog.md item 6 has it blocked on "the writer between tail 31 and the
   autosave -- watchpoint". There is no such writer. A whole-image scan for immediate
   stores to ServerPlayer+0x164 finds exactly three: ProcessTurn's encounter loop writes
   1, ResumePlaying writes 0 on load (the 4 -> 0 the determinism note recorded), and
   StrategyServer_MarkPlayerTurnEnded 0x00821a40 writes 4 from the three End Turn
   SUBMISSION paths, which run before the turn is processed. Item 6 needs one predicate,
   not a watchpoint -- and an entry probe on that function names the set directly.

   NOT written. The only two saves in the corpus with a non-zero Status agree with
   Species != 4 on all eight players, and that is eight observations on a 1-bit predicate
   that nine of the eleven saves do not exercise at all. Evaluated and reported.

Seven addresses in ghidra/addresses.d/lane-t2.json, validated to a scratch path against
the merged set (1,095 entries, no duplicate). verify/results/standalone/{report,status}
deliberately untouched: lane C3 published into them minutes before this run.
2026-09-08 14:52:44 -04:00
alex
3b99e255c7 lane C3: ComputeOutput on the turn path -- the money ComputeBudget actually sums
`ServerSystem::ComputeOutput` 0x00751fb0 and the whole of `ComputeOutputFromRates`
0x00751bb0, read from the instruction stream to the next function start. This is the
function lane E1 correctly identified as the real blocker on P01/P02/P03/P05/P06 after
its own chain came out 25/25 on BnkEl and did not unblock them.

The shape, and the fact everything turns on: construction points the build queue and
the ship-repair pass do not spend are redistributed over trade / terraform /
infrastructure, and the TRADE share is added to the money channel. Unspent
infrastructure points cascade into the terraform pool and unspent terraform points
cascade into money -- two hops, not one. So a colony with an empty build queue earns
the same money whichever way its sliders point, which is why the turn path's money
sits within one trade point of the projected path on this corpus.

Eleven addresses, five of them dropped as agreeing duplicates. New: the repair pass
0x00751590 (the B1 double-run side effect, and its round robin is provably a `min`),
the construction-point helper 0x00746830, the queue-demand walker 0x008251e0, the
ideal-suitability resolver 0x00745d60, and two helpers with non-standard conventions
that would be silently wrong read as thiscall -- 0x0074c6f0 takes `this` in ESI and
0x007460b0 takes the system in EBX.

Corrections in place: `income-term.md`'s "leftover science points" are leftover SHIP
CONSTRUCTION points (there is no science channel in this function), its
science-cascade bullet moves from inferred to instruction-verified, and
`output-term.md`'s 0x00751fa8 boundary is padding -- the `ret 8` is at 0x00751fa0.

Measured, with the engine change (sots-engine wip/output2 d3ee453):

    turn1-state -> turn2-state    209 -> 157   closed 52  regressed 0   (was 51 / 0)
    turn2-state -> turn3-state    108 ->  86   closed 22  regressed 0   (was 21 / 0)

Closed 1 per pair, regressed 0. Every prediction in the doc's section 4 held; the one
that was off is named and explained. The strongest check is not the leaf count but
the eleven-save self-check in section 5.3, where every difference between the turn
path and the projected path decomposes to the unit into the build queue's points.
2026-09-08 14:50:50 -04:00
alex
6669c4ab1e dashboard refresh 2026-09-08 14:48:59 -04:00
alex
3b4142b566 board: note the self-inflicted build-dir race that mimicked a flaky test 2026-09-08 14:48:58 -04:00
alex
ce4603a380 board: lane AI2 - task selection is a stable sort on a constant priority table; order-method mapping complete; throttle settled 2026-09-08 14:46:12 -04:00
alex
232397aa12 lane AI2: the AI's task selection loop, the priority table, and the order-method -> TurnCommands map
The strategic AI does not search or score. Once a turn (Process Turn phase 20, 0x006cf630) it
rebuilds a candidate task list -- which families it builds at all is a switch on the player's
SPECIES, four arms, and the NPC arm builds nothing -- sorts it by a per-task-type priority, and
walks it twice calling each task's Execute(agent, pass) with pass 0 then 1.

Closed from lane AI1's open list:
  * the selection loop (its item 2) and the whole ordering policy: a 33-entry priority table at
    0x00691f00 plus five named overrides;
  * IAITask's unnamed pure virtuals (item 1) -- seven, not eight: GetTypeId, GetTargetA/B,
    Execute, IsFinished, GetTypeName, Describe;
  * the order-method -> list mapping (item 5): all 27 of lane Q's lists and all six prologue
    gates now have a named producer, and list 14 -- lane Q's "observed but not understood" --
    is the AI's fleet order, two elements per fleet;
  * g_CurrentClientIndex (item 6): a stack pointer with exactly two writers, pushed around the
    whole AI turn by StrategyAIAgent::OnEvent;
  * the think-time throttle (item 7): AIProcessMinTime is a trailing Sleep, not a compute
    budget. Every pending AI player's turn runs back-to-back inside one Update. The clean
    "all AI orders in before the human's End Turn" ordering HOLDS, and Rung B is not at risk;
  * Broadcast -> OnAIPacket, read to the call -- AI1's one inferred hop is now verified.

Corrections: 31 concrete task classes, not 34; 26 order methods, not 21; seven pure virtuals,
not eight. lane-ai1.json's Broadcast and g_CurrentClientIndex entries upgraded in place.

Open and said so: slots 11/12/13 unnamed, the nine goal tasks' bodies unread, the two-pass
meaning inferred, the StrategyApp pending-AI enqueue site not found, nothing run under an
instrument. Four predictions in section 9, P1 being a ModCount prediction.

ghidra/addresses.d/lane-ai2.json: 25 entries, 1031 -> 1056, no duplicates.
2026-09-08 14:43:41 -04:00
alex
8411c7e9c7 board: VM140 holder = lane W2 2026-09-08 14:14:49 -04:00
alex
35ccaf5d94 dashboard refresh 2026-09-08 13:56:49 -04:00
alex
4549f5eb5c board: lane H - oracle reproduced, instrument perturbation found, P2 held so Rung B stands 2026-09-08 13:56:44 -04:00
alex
8b6c946614 rules 19-20: the instrument can perturb the measurement; a count cannot separate did-not-fire from fired-and-found-nothing 2026-09-08 13:56:06 -04:00
alex
132d41c44e roadmap: restore item 2, mark item 4 done, refresh current numbers 2026-09-08 13:53:39 -04:00
alex
8ad9971f6e lane H: five live probes, the oracle restored, and a harness perturbation bisected to one hook
- determinism oracle regenerated and byte-identical (bb4fd9ac / 978041ac)
- the four phase-23/33 draw-bearing tail callees run EVERY turn; the three inner
  functions holding the draws run zero times -- the gate is inside each outer body
- CreateRaidEncounter is called (2 on one turn) and draws nothing: candidate list empty
- Zuul: 7 calls / 7 words per trade-raid Chance site, 14 not 16, as predicted
- EncounterDetect_Run receives an EMPTY record vector, so ProcessTeamRecord and
  AssignContacts never run; the 2-word detection residual is in 0x007d5150's subtree
- a MinHook detour on 0x00893290 changes the game's output; bisected over six runs.
  The un-instrumented game and lane Z's instrument agree, so lane Z's numbers stand
- lane AI1 insert: P2 held across two fresh processes, Rung B stays as written
2026-09-08 13:53:36 -04:00
alex
3f014a42eb board+roadmap: lane E1 income 25/25; correct roadmap item 1 - the turn path uses ComputeOutput, not ComputeMaxIncome 2026-09-08 13:53:20 -04:00
alex
bebdee1ceb income-term: the output -> money chain read from the instruction stream; the BnkEl oracle goes 6/25 -> 25/25
`output-term.md` §6 said the verified output total did not unblock the budget
because a system's MONEY is a second chain. This is that chain, disassembled to
the next function start throughout.

The multiplier `formula-gaps.md` Q3 could not name is a three-row table the
executable BUILDS IN CODE from .rdata float literals -- no data-file key, no
GlobalConst slot, the same shape lane N found for the pop-type table.
ServerPlayer+0x36c is an unnamed, unsaved pointer to {int id; float ai[3];
float other[3]}, filled from that table by ServerPlayer::Read and selected per
player by `is-AI && !NPC`. Every corpus save carries aidf == 1, whose AI income
column is 1.1f. The record's other two columns are a fleet-maintenance DIVISOR
and a RESEARCH multiplier -- Q3 called the third a trade multiplier and it is not.

25/25 on the oracle, from 6/25. The prediction of WHERE the remaining misses were
was wrong and is written down as wrong: the twelve Zuul records were not missing
the suitability cost (every corpus colony sits at its species' ideal, so that
whole term is multiplied by zero and stays unexercised). They were missing
SpeciesDef +0x4c/+0x50, which are PER SPECIES and were carried as one global
pair -- 400 output points, 2000 money, per Zuul colony, and the observed 4400 and
5566 shortfalls fall out to the unit.

New wire fact: the Sim block's ISsp/ISsu pairs ARE server->IdealSuit[], the
float[7] CalcSuitMod indexes. The array is randomised per game by the map
generator and cross-checks against every ServerPlayer's own IdealSuit field in
all 11 saves, so the suitability cost needs no data file.

Also states plainly what this does NOT unblock: ComputeBudget's turn path takes
its per-system money from ComputeOutput with the system's OWN rate sliders, not
from ComputeMaxIncome, so P01/P02/P03/P05/P06 and the two research RNG words stay
blocked on a strictly larger function.
2026-09-08 13:49:48 -04:00
alex
08da5a1a06 standalone report regenerated from main: 209 -> 158 leaves, closed 51 regressed 0, 16/44 phases 2026-09-08 13:46:17 -04:00
alex
6e10def1b5 dashboard refresh after visibility 2026-09-08 13:43:31 -04:00
alex
069d7e649b board: lane E3 visibility - 128 leaves across five pairs, 0 regressed; the gate is AFlags not VFlags 2026-09-08 13:42:36 -04:00
alex
d617285b0c board: lane AI1 - the AI is a StrategyClient running after the autosave; orders go through the TurnCommands we already own; P2 routed to the VM 2026-09-08 13:39:38 -04:00
alex
d639c9a112 lane E3: the prediction's outcome, leaf for leaf
204 -> 158 and 103 -> 87, closed 46 and 16, regressed 0 -- the predicted table
line for line, including the 32-leaf target in full. Three further pairs the
model was never fitted to close 42, 12 and 12 with zero regressions; 128 leaves
across five pairs.

The AFlags-vs-VFlags falsification is decided on a real save rather than in a
comment: running the engine on zuul-turn23-fleet23 reproduces the frozen stamp
at the one system whose active mask is clear while its sticky and explored masks
are not.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ARBgSooAfokKUy6wKUKEyZ
2026-09-08 13:39:30 -04:00
alex
58c2cd14b4 lane E3: ten addresses for the visibility record, and the standalone's new distance
The NVE writer 0x00756300 and its four siblings, `ltis`'s writer 0x00743ec0, the
encounter-placement routine whose unserialised field feeds Eid, the tail phase that
calls the writer, and the resolution of an indirect edge lane B5 left open --
ServerSystem primary vftable 0x00a2044c slot 7 is 0x007480b0, and it writes only a
runtime mask, so it never reaches the wire.

None of the ten collides with an address already in the DB (checked against all 714
addressed entries across addresses.json and every fragment); gen_addresses.py
validated to a scratch path at 1019 entries, no duplicate names.

Standalone report regenerated from the lane worktree:
  turn1 -> turn2   209 -> 158   closed 51, regressed 0
  turn2 -> turn3   108 ->  87   closed 21, regressed 0

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ARBgSooAfokKUy6wKUKEyZ
2026-09-08 13:38:57 -04:00
alex
19afa1f78a dashboard refresh 2026-09-08 13:28:52 -04:00
alex
f6a914beee board: lane E2 census wired; ship construction identified as a new blocker by a falsified prediction 2026-09-08 13:28:52 -04:00