sots-re/verify/results/standalone/max-income-oracle.json
lane Y c471a5515f lane Y: the standalone's generator against lane Z's calibrated oracle pairs, and the tail's turn record
The standalone now models the turn's dominant generator cost -- 16 of a measured 18-22
words -- and lands 4 and 2 short of the two calibrated pairs, which is exactly the
per-call-site ledger's split for those turns. The state block is byte-identical; only
left differs. The answer to 'does it match the oracle' is no, by a stated amount, and
tools/rng_oracle_check.py is the instrument that says so.

The tail's last phase is modelled for the six turn-record fields recoverable from the
wire and checked against the record the game itself archived: 480 fields over 80
player-records, 0 mismatches. It stays blocked; --commit-blocked shows exactly which
five fields are missing and what they cost.

By-product, and probably worth more than the phase: the stored bankruptcy elimination
limit is injective in the maximum-income sum it is built from, so every save states the
per-system output term that blocks ComputeBudget. tools/max_income_oracle.py inverts it
-- 25 player-records over the corpus -- and recovers the protection factor as 3.3 from
the saves rather than from the data files. It also shows the engine's -0.15 divisor
disagrees with the game on 6 of those 25.

divergence unchanged: 209->204 and 108->103, 5 closed / 0 regressed on both pairs.
2026-09-08 11:40:19 -04:00

689 lines
No EOL
15 KiB
JSON

{
"human-turn2-orders.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 10,
"BnkEl": -9064672,
"BnkPr": -4487013,
"maxIncome": 1359701,
"protectionFactor": 3.299999779363257,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": true
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 10,
"BnkEl": -10378892,
"BnkPr": -5137552,
"maxIncome": 1556834,
"protectionFactor": 3.299999871534152,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": true
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
],
"human-turn3-noderoute.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 10,
"BnkEl": -9122659,
"BnkPr": -4515716,
"maxIncome": 1368399,
"protectionFactor": 3.299999488453295,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": true
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 10,
"BnkEl": -10444699,
"BnkPr": -5170126,
"maxIncome": 1566705,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999996808588725,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": true
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
],
"turn1-state.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -1590613,
"BnkPr": -787353,
"maxIncome": 238592,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999974852467813,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -1811273,
"BnkPr": -896580,
"maxIncome": 271691,
"protectionFactor": 3.299998895804425,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 576,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -665806,
"BnkPr": -329574,
"maxIncome": 99871,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999969961250013,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
}
],
"turn2-state.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -1594593,
"BnkPr": -789323,
"maxIncome": 239189,
"protectionFactor": 3.299997073444013,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -1815833,
"BnkPr": -898837,
"maxIncome": 272375,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999981642955483,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 576,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -665806,
"BnkPr": -329574,
"maxIncome": 99871,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999969961250013,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
}
],
"turn3-state.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -1598566,
"BnkPr": -791290,
"maxIncome": 239785,
"protectionFactor": 3.299997914798674,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -1820206,
"BnkPr": -901002,
"maxIncome": 273031,
"protectionFactor": 3.299998901223671,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 576,
"ownedSystems": 1,
"BnkEl": -665806,
"BnkPr": -329574,
"maxIncome": 99871,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999969961250013,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
}
],
"zuul-turn15-orders.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1271166,
"BnkPr": -629227,
"maxIncome": 190675,
"protectionFactor": 3.299997377736987,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1820399,
"BnkPr": -901097,
"maxIncome": 273060,
"protectionFactor": 3.299996337801216,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": true
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
],
"zuul-turn16-noderoute.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1270619,
"BnkPr": -628956,
"maxIncome": 190593,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999952778958304,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": true
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1819586,
"BnkPr": -900695,
"maxIncome": 272938,
"protectionFactor": 3.299998534465703,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
],
"zuul-turn17-orders2.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1270066,
"BnkPr": -628682,
"maxIncome": 190510,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999947509317096,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1818586,
"BnkPr": -900200,
"maxIncome": 272788,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999985336598385,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
],
"zuul-turn17-rollpending.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1270066,
"BnkPr": -628682,
"maxIncome": 190510,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999947509317096,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1818586,
"BnkPr": -900200,
"maxIncome": 272788,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999985336598385,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
],
"zuul-turn23-fleet23.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1266033,
"BnkPr": -626686,
"maxIncome": 189905,
"protectionFactor": 3.299997367104605,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1813746,
"BnkPr": -897804,
"maxIncome": 272062,
"protectionFactor": 3.299997794620344,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
],
"zuul-turn5-species5.sav": [
{
"playerID": 16,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1277766,
"BnkPr": -632494,
"maxIncome": 191665,
"protectionFactor": 3.2999973912816634,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 32,
"ownedSystems": 2,
"BnkEl": -1725413,
"BnkPr": -854079,
"maxIncome": 258812,
"protectionFactor": 3.299997681714913,
"naiveDivisorDisagrees": false
},
{
"playerID": 496,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 512,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 528,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 544,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
},
{
"playerID": 560,
"ownedSystems": 0,
"BnkEl": 0,
"BnkPr": 0,
"maxIncome": null,
"why": "limit is zero (no owned systems)"
}
]
}