The canonical pair on the same binary puts ModCount on 12 -> 24 exactly (zero
residual), so the cost table is right on the lists that pair exercises and the
rich turn's residual of 2 must sit in lists 1, 7 or 12. The only uniform
per-element explanation is list 7 (colonisation) at 2 bumps -- fitted to one
observation, recorded as a prediction with its falsifier.
Also records the regression check on tools/aiorders_to_tcb.py: 8 shallow logs
byte-identical, 4 lane-CB logs corrected (they were deep dumps whose payloads
the converter had been discarding), and the canonical pair's replay unchanged.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ARBgSooAfokKUy6wKUKEyZ
Replays lane BR's deep command block for ad-turn27-two-raiders.sav through
sots_turn --turn-commands and compares with bp-pinB-turn28.sav (724528ff).
Verdict: outcome 3. DIVERGED: 1092 leaf difference(s) against a 1166-leaf
do-nothing baseline; 80 closed, 6 regressed; the stream's whole contribution to
the state is /Sim/ModCount (1430 -> 1500, target 1502, residual 2).
Two blockers upstream of the turn: the typed writer drops one usp item in
Game::SpecialProjectNameGen (12 of 43 corpus saves, exactly 12 bytes each), and
--relabel-new-ids refuses by guard G3 because the engine mints no client fleet
ids. The tail's tscr gate is TRUE on this save (253, not 252).
tools/aiorders_to_tcb.py now reads the deep dump's aivec/aistr rows, only at a
word the field map already types as a vector, with the followed count
cross-checked against the begin/end pair.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ARBgSooAfokKUy6wKUKEyZ
