diff --git a/campaign/board.md b/campaign/board.md index afb55ff..51cfd79 100644 --- a/campaign/board.md +++ b/campaign/board.md @@ -177,3 +177,9 @@ Status flow: `backlog → in-progress → mapped → verified` (or `blocked`). | RNG entry points: SEVEN, not three | objects | verified | high | 100% | 2026-09-08 | Lane I: NextFloat, NextInt, Chance, plus NextUInt, FloatRange 0x0047d8a0 (1 word, NARROWS TWICE, in ProcessTurn's closure at depth 3 with two call sites), IntRangeBell 0x008e6d80 (triangular, >=2 words) and GaussianRange 0x008e6e30 (2 words PER ATTEMPT, UNBOUNDED, both draws inlined). AND IT SCALES BY 2^-32 WHERE NextFloat SCALES BY 1/(2^32-1) - TWO DIVISORS IN ONE IMAGE. GaussianRange documented but deliberately NOT modelled | | RNG residual: 18-20 words STILL UNEXPLAINED | verify | backlog | — | 0% | 2026-09-08 | THE HONEST HEADLINE. Lane J predicted the two inlined functions would explain lane Z's per-turn gap. **NOT CONFIRMED.** Both new sources are gated and neither has been measured: 0x007aa240 contributes 0..(|contacts|x|detectors|) and whether its +0xfc gate passed is not knowable statically; ProbabilisticJump's second word is 0 unless a type-5 waypoint fails its arrival test. RESIDUAL: 18-20 words, essentially ALL of it. WHAT IS NOW PROVABLE IS THE NEGATIVE: there is NO TWENTY-THIRD MECHANISM - the complete draw-site inventory of the ProcessTurn closure (1,426 functions) is 22 sites (21 entry-point calls + 1 inlined), so the 18-20 words are distributed among exactly those. THE SEARCH SPACE CLOSES; THE COUNT DOES NOT. One extra bracket on EncounterDetect_ProcessTeamRecord with |contacts|/|detectors| in the argument record turns the formula into a one-turn test | | CORRECTION: no Mars MT19937 variant | objects | verified | high | 100% | 2026-09-08 | Lane I correcting ITSELF (rule 11). It had written into Ghidra that 0xff3a58ad/0xffffdf8c are a Mars variant of MT19937. THEY ARE NOT - they are the textbook masks applied BEFORE the shift: (y & 0xff3a58ad) << 7 == (y << 7) & 0x9d2c5680, verified over 200k words. `mars::rng` in sots-engine was NEVER WRONG. Corrected in place in Ghidra and in the fragment. NOTE FOR FUTURE SCANS: a scan for the TEXTBOOK constants finds NOTHING in this image, which is exactly why rule 16's scan must use these pre-shift values | +| STANDALONE SCAFFOLD RUNS | engine | verified | high | 100% | 2026-09-08 | THE NORTH STAR MADE CONCRETE. `sots_turn SAVE --roundtrip --phases --out POST.sav --metric m.json`: loads a real .sav through mars::stream, PROVES THE FOUNDATION FIRST (re-serialises the untouched parse and byte-compares against the inflated stream; if that fails the run STOPS), walks the published phase order of ALL THREE drivers (host steps, StrategyServer::ProcessTurn's 32 with ServerPlayer::ProcessTurn's 12 nested at phase 13, then OnAllCombatDone_Tail's 37), PRINTS EVERY PHASE IT DOES NOT RUN, writes post-turn state back through write_save + gzip, emits a completion metric. Driven over all 11 saves: 11/11 load, run, re-serialise and re-read cleanly. Integrator-verified on CT111 with real saves: ctest 38/38, and the trace output labels hypotheses INLINE (e.g. "3 judged stable by the owned/not-abandoned stand-in (HYPOTHESIS -- the original asks a callee)") | +| standalone divergence vs the oracle | verify | mapped | high | 100% | 2026-09-08 | Leaves localised by state_checksum.py, coverage PROVED on every save in every comparison. turn1->turn2: baseline 209 diverge -> 204, CLOSED 5, REGRESSED 0. turn2->turn3: 108 -> 103, closed 5, regressed 0. Closed the same five on both pairs: /Summary/Turn, /Sim/Frame, and ntdev on Gamma Cephei / Ke'Dolarra / Koa'Vo. Remaining 204: /Sim/players 82, /Sim/systems 80, /Sim/turnstats 24, /Sim/SvSctOb 8, plus 10 singletons (ModCount, RNG, Checksum, NMnx, cmbtid, four id lists, NumFlts). BYTE MATCH: NO, AND IT CANNOT BE YET - 0 of the 18-20 per-turn generator words are modelled and the generator is saved state | +| standalone completion metric | meta | verified | high | 100% | 2026-09-08 | verify/results/standalone/status.json, read by tools/dashboard.py's new section 6 (regenerate with tools/standalone_report.py). **14 of 44 turn-driver phases modelled, 7 committed; 2 of 37 tail phases. VERIFIED 0 - DELIBERATELY**: in that table `verified` means "compared against the live game", lane S2 held no VM, and `app_catalog` FAILS THE BUILD if that ever drifts upward silently. Implemented+committed (9): H00 BeginProcessTurn, H01 SaveWriterInvariants, S00 ModCount bump, S11 SystemTurn (tuning-free subset), P07 clear timed-research accumulators, P08 rebellion output decay, P09 timed research bonuses (last->first, ORDER LOAD-BEARING), P10 ResearchRollPending consume, T00 tail ModCount bump. Blocked - evaluated, reported, NOT written (8): P01 P02 P03 P05 P06 all behind the unresolved population->base-output term, plus P11, S31, T31. Stub - named no-ops visible in output: 65 | +| THE FINDING THAT SHAPED THE DESIGN: report regressed, never net it off | meta | verified | high | 100% | 2026-09-08 | Lane S2 first implemented AND COMMITTED S31's player-status restore. The comparison tool immediately reported TWO REGRESSED LEAVES on turn2->turn3: two Player.Status words that AGREED with the oracle before the turn and DISAGREED after. The phase writes 1, the file carries 4, a load resets to 0 - so a writer between phase 31 and the autosave is unaccounted. S31 is now blocked, and `regressed` is reported NEXT TO `closed` in every run, NEVER NETTED OFF. Consequent design rule: a phase whose FORMULA we hold but whose INPUTS we do not is EVALUATED AND REPORTED, NOT WRITTEN, unless --commit-blocked. Same for the generator (--commit-rng) | +| standalone: two things deliberately NOT implemented | verify | backlog | — | 0% | 2026-09-08 | (1) TShn/ltis - 18 of the remaining 204 leaves, moving 1->2 on 8-10 systems on BOTH pairs. A `+1` closes them in ten lines. NOTHING NAMES THEIR WRITER, so that is a hypothesis not a reading; named in the docs as the cheapest measured target. (2) RNG write-back - an advanced-but-incomplete state is WRONG DIFFERENTLY from an untouched one. One hypothesis IS under test and survived a changed workload: `stable = owned && !abandoned && !destroyed` (the original asks a callee) closed the same 3 ntdev leaves on both pairs - six agreements, zero disagreements - and is labelled a hypothesis in code, log AND docs | +| RANKED blockers to the byte-match | meta | mapped | high | 100% | 2026-09-08 | Lane S2's ranking, which is now the project's critical path: (1) THE RNG LEDGER - lane Z; nothing in src/app can close it. (2) The population->base-output term - ONE FORMULA GATING 5 OF THE 44 PHASES. (3) The 37-phase post-combat tail, which is the driver THE AUTOSAVE IS WRITTEN FROM. (4) The `nve` visibility record (32 leaves, one mechanism x 8). (5) The event pipeline. (6) Summary.Checksum. (7) The Player.Status writer. (8) ModCount - the real turn advances it 12-44 times from writers spread across BOTH drivers |