lane CV: localise the ModCount residual to lists 1/7/12; tool regression check

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The canonical pair on the same binary puts ModCount on 12 -> 24 exactly (zero
residual), so the cost table is right on the lists that pair exercises and the
rich turn's residual of 2 must sit in lists 1, 7 or 12. The only uniform
per-element explanation is list 7 (colonisation) at 2 bumps -- fitted to one
observation, recorded as a prediction with its falsifier.

Also records the regression check on tools/aiorders_to_tcb.py: 8 shallow logs
byte-identical, 4 lane-CB logs corrected (they were deep dumps whose payloads
the converter had been discarding), and the canonical pair's replay unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ARBgSooAfokKUy6wKUKEyZ

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alex 2026-09-09 09:31:58 -04:00

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